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Posted August 20, 2013

Chicago Fed National Activity Index rises

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index edged up to -0.15 in July from -0.23 in June.


Three of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index increased slightly from June, but only two of the four categories made positive contributions to the index in July.

The index’s three-month moving average increased to –0.15 in July from –0.24 in June, marking its fifth consecutive reading below zero. July’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was below its historical trend. The economic growth reflected in this level of the CFNAI-MA3 suggests subdued inflationary pressure from economic activity over the coming year.

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